Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2 Neom SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 14 Jan 2026

Al Shabab Riyadh
3-2 HT 1-1
Neom SC
📅14/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2025/2026

Al Shabab Riyadh vs Neom SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 34% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Shabab Riyadh v Neom SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Neom SC EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-41% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.5 Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards –

Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2 Neom SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
3-2
AWAY Neom SC
2.41 xG 1.86
42% Ball Possession 58%
19 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
299 Passes 422
88% Pass Accuracy 90%
19 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Neom SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh edged past Neom SC 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Shabab Riyadh found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 42% of the ball to Neom SC's 58%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.41 to 1.86.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Neom SC?

Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2 Neom SC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Neom SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 39%, draw 24%, Neom SC 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
14 Jan 2026
17:45 Al-Qadsiah vs Al Fayha Analysis →
20:30 Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon Analysis →