Al Ahli Jeddah 2-1 Al Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 14 Jan 2026

📅14/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
-0.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.0pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
2.24/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.86
-8% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
19.5 Crosses 14.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Taawon
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.15 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
352 Passes 368
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.05.2025 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
07.12.2024 Al Taawon Al Taawon 2-4 HT 2-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
09.03.2024 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
16.09.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
05.02.2022 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
12.09.2021 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
2-1
AWAY Al Taawon
2.16 xG 0.98
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
297 Passes 304
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah nicked a narrow win over Al Taawon 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 49% of the ball to Al Taawon's 51%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 2.16 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.00 for Al Taawon.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon?

Al Ahli Jeddah 2-1 Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 61%, draw 20%, Al Taawon 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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