Al Taawon 2-4 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
43%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.45
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.66
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+9.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-8.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.13/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.86
-33% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +20%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
255 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
13.7 Crosses 21.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Taawon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.81 xG 1.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 Passes 349
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
16.09.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
05.02.2022 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
12.09.2021 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
07.05.2021 Al Taawon Al Taawon 4-2 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
02.01.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 0-3 HT 0-3 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Taawon
2-4
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
0.74 xG 4.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 32
4 Shots on Target 19
1 Corners 7
373 Passes 479
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 56
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Taawon vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah saw off Al Taawon 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Taawon had 45% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 55%, shots finished 8-32, expected goals 0.74 to 4.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Taawon and 1.33 for Al Ahli Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al Taawon 2-4 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 30%, draw 27%, Al Ahli Jeddah 44%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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