Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Raed Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Hilal Riyadh v Al Raed — Team-Based Signals
Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Raed Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-1
Al Hilal Riyadh
SUUD
3-2
HT 2-0
Al Raed
SUUD
1-1
HT 0-1
Al Hilal Riyadh
SUUD
0-1
HT 0-0
Al Hilal Riyadh
SUUD
2-0
HT 1-0
Al Raed
SAKK
Al Hilal Riyadh 3-2 Al Raed — Actual Match Statistics
Al Hilal Riyadh edged past Al Raed 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 74% of the ball to Al Raed's 26%, shots finished 35-3, expected goals 4.78 to 0.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Hilal Riyadh's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 0.67 for Al Raed.
What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Raed?
Al Hilal Riyadh 3-2 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Raed?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 66%, draw 19%, Al Raed 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.