Al Khaleej 1-2 Al Ettifaq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒15:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 29% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
1.23/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.30
+9% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
18.8 Crosses 17.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khaleej
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Ettifaq
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.08 xG 1.32
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 Passes 365
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
24.08.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
02.05.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
25.12.2022 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
08.04.2017 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khaleej
1-2
AWAY Al Ettifaq
1.34 xG 1.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
338 Passes 390
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Khaleej vs Al Ettifaq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ettifaq nicked a narrow win over Al Khaleej 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Al Ettifaq found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Khaleej had 48% of the ball to Al Ettifaq's 52%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.34 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Ettifaq led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Al Khaleej and 1.60 for Al Ettifaq.

What was the final score of Al Khaleej vs Al Ettifaq?

Al Khaleej 1-2 Al Ettifaq in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khaleej vs Al Ettifaq?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Khaleej win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Khaleej 37%, draw 28%, Al Ettifaq 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Khaleej) ✗ Under 2.5
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