Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 2-6 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 14 Jan 2026

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
2-6 HT 1-4
Samsunspor
📅14/01/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2025/2026

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs Samsunspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
3.69
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
37%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
24%
+17.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
53%
-15.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. v Samsunspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +82%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 2-6 Samsunspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
2-6
AWAY Samsunspor
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor ran out comfortable winners over Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 22% / 37% — and on the day Samsunspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. had 41% of the ball to Samsunspor's 59%, shots finished 9-19.

What was the final score of Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs Samsunspor?

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 2-6 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Cup on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 41%, draw 22%, Samsunspor 37%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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