İstanbulspor 1-6 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 14 Jan 2026

İstanbulspor
1-6 HT 1-1
Trabzonspor
📅14/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2025/2026

İstanbulspor vs Trabzonspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
7.95
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
70%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.96
Over 2.5
52%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.73
2-3 Goals
48%
2.18
4-5 Goals
22%
2.44
6+ Goals
10%
4.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
18.6
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
20.1
1/X
3%
26.5
X/1
5%
23.1
X/2
12%
4.04
X/X
7%
10.2
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
50%
1.39
2/X
6%
22.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.1 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
10%
+4.4pp
16%
Draw
14%
+1.9pp
70%
Away Win
76%
-6.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
30%
+17.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
70%
-17.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İstanbulspor v Trabzonspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 81%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
0.05/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.38
-95% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -46%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
233 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.2

İstanbulspor vs Trabzonspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Trabzonspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
0.63 xG 1.12
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
318 Passes 428
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.05.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-0 HT 2-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
19.12.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-3 HT 1-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
22.01.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 4-0 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
05.08.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
29.05.2005 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-5 HT 0-3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
28.05.2005 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-5 HT 0-3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL

İstanbulspor 1-6 Trabzonspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
1-6
AWAY Trabzonspor
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 33
2 Shots on Target 14
0 Corners 10
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor swept aside İstanbulspor 6-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 30% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 70%, shots finished 4-33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for İstanbulspor and 3.67 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Trabzonspor?

İstanbulspor 1-6 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Cup on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 14%, draw 16%, Trabzonspor 70%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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