Trabzonspor 3-0 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.22
Draw
23%
6.26
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.46
Over 2.5
65%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
8.75
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
44%
2.4
4-5 Goals
29%
2.36
6+ Goals
13%
3.89
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.4 — our 44% vs market 35.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
78%
-12.9pp
23%
Draw
13%
+9.7pp
13%
Away Win
9%
+3.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
25%
+9.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
75%
-9.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 12%
-14% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
2.72/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.66
-23% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +0%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
537 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
34.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
26.5 Crosses 11.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
5W-1D-0L
AWAY İstanbulspor
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.35 xG 0.63
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
429 Passes 286
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-3 HT 1-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
22.01.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 4-0 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
05.08.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
29.05.2005 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-5 HT 0-3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
28.05.2005 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-5 HT 0-3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
18.12.2004 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-1 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
3-0
AWAY İstanbulspor
0.66 xG 0.62
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 12
425 Passes 412
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor ran out comfortable winners over İstanbulspor 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 51% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 49%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.66 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Trabzonspor and 0.17 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs İstanbulspor?

Trabzonspor 3-0 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - Super League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 65%, draw 23%, İstanbulspor 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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