Konyaspor 3-0 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 29% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -35%
1.43/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.12
-18% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
22.4 Crosses 19.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Konyaspor
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Samsunspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.51 xG 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
188 Passes 179
60% Pass Accuracy 59%
24 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
26.10.2021 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TÜK
03.03.2013 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor T1L
13.10.2012 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-2 HT 2-2 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
25.04.2010 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor T1L
06.12.2009 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Konyaspor
3-0
AWAY Samsunspor
0.88 xG 0.25
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 6
205 Passes 381
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Konyaspor vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Konyaspor swept aside Samsunspor 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Konyaspor as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Konyaspor had 38% of the ball to Samsunspor's 62%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.88 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Konyaspor and 1.17 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Konyaspor vs Samsunspor?

Konyaspor 3-0 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Konyaspor vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Konyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Konyaspor 43%, draw 26%, Samsunspor 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Konyaspor), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Konyaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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