Pendikspor 2-1 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.82
2-3 Goals
40%
2.05
4-5 Goals
27%
2.6
6+ Goals
13%
5.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.3pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 29%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.66/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.62
-44% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
28.0 Crosses 17.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pendikspor
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.24 xG 2.44
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
406 Passes 268
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2023 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 5-1 HT 3-1 Pendikspor Pendikspor TSL
29.04.2023 Pendikspor Pendikspor 3-2 HT 3-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor T1L
05.12.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 HT 1-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pendikspor
2-1
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.98 xG 1.73
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
266 Passes 244
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Pendikspor vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pendikspor nicked a narrow win over Çaykur Rizespor 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pendikspor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pendikspor had 52% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 48%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.98 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pendikspor and 2.67 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Pendikspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Pendikspor 2-1 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pendikspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pendikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pendikspor 45%, draw 24%, Çaykur Rizespor 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pendikspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pendikspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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