Adana Demirspor 1-6 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
13%
7.77
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.77 — our 25% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.5pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.49/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.49
-21% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
16.6 Crosses 15.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana Demirspor
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.40 xG 0.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
398 Passes 301
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-2 HT 1-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
07.10.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
20.02.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-3 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
25.09.2021 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 4-0 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
02.02.2019 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 3-2 HT 2-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK T1L
25.08.2018 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
1-6
AWAY Gaziantep FK
0.56 xG 3.44
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 2
233 Passes 308
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
5 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK swept aside Adana Demirspor 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Adana Demirspor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 46% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 54%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.56 to 3.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adana Demirspor had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Adana Demirspor and 0.83 for Gaziantep FK.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs Gaziantep FK?

Adana Demirspor 1-6 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adana Demirspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 42%, draw 26%, Gaziantep FK 32%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adana Demirspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adana Demirspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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