Fenerbahçe 3-0 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.98
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.44
2-3 Goals
39%
2.24
4-5 Goals
28%
2.43
6+ Goals
14%
4.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.3
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
28.5
X/1
14%
3.61
X/2
5%
29.5
X/X
7%
11.1
2/1
8%
21.45
2/2
7%
21.05
2/X
5%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
79%
-15.5pp
19%
Draw
12%
+6.4pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+9.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
2.44/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.14
+4% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
34.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
21.4 Crosses 14.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Kayserispor
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.95 xG 1.18
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
361 Passes 294
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.12.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 3-4 HT 1-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
06.04.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4-1 HT 2-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TÜK
04.03.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-2 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
03.09.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-0 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
02.04.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-4 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
08.02.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 0-1 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
3-0
AWAY Kayserispor
2.12 xG 0.58
50% Ball Possession 50%
25 Total Shots 10
15 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
301 Passes 322
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
44 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe ran out comfortable winners over Kayserispor 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 50% of the ball to Kayserispor's 50%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 2.12 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Fenerbahçe and 1.00 for Kayserispor.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Kayserispor?

Fenerbahçe 3-0 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 64%, draw 19%, Kayserispor 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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