Bologna 2-0 Fiorentina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.83
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.56
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
15%
4.92
X/2
12%
5.77
X/X
13%
3.7
2/1
9%
33.0
2/2
8%
4.46
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.9pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.7pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.22/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.30
-1% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
356 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
19.4 Crosses 18.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bologna
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fiorentina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.23 xG 1.39
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
332 Passes 377
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.01.2024 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0-0 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTK
12.11.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1 HT 1-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
05.02.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2 HT 1-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
11.09.2022 Bologna Bologna 2-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
13.03.2022 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
05.12.2021 Bologna Bologna 2-3 HT 1-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna
2-0
AWAY Fiorentina
2.15 xG 0.88
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
462 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bologna vs Fiorentina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bologna saw off Fiorentina 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Bologna had 58% of the ball to Fiorentina's 42%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.15 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bologna and 1.33 for Fiorentina.

What was the final score of Bologna vs Fiorentina?

Bologna 2-0 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna vs Fiorentina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bologna 43%, draw 29%, Fiorentina 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bologna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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