Como (K) 0-1 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
58%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
58%
Away Win
66%
-8.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.47/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.96
-100% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -34%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 79%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.0
5.0 Crosses 14.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 9
18.11.2023 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 3-0 HT 0-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como (K)
0-1
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
1.37 xG 0.87
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
286 Passes 424
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Como (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) nicked a narrow win over Como (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fiorentina (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Como (K) had 43% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 57%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.37 to 0.87 — on chances, Como (K) could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Como (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Como (K) 0-1 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Como (K) 18%, draw 24%, Fiorentina (K) 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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