Aguilas Doradas 1-1 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -6%
1.01/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.29
+3% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 72%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
17.3 Crosses 13.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
2W-3D-1L
AWAY La Equidad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
254 Passes 271
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
06.05.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
23.07.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 3-0 HT 2-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
03.02.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
28.10.2021 La Equidad La Equidad 2-2 HT 0-2 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
25.02.2021 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-2 HT 1-2 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
1-1
AWAY La Equidad
0.57 xG 0.71
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
347 Passes 216
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas and La Equidad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aguilas Doradas at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 60% of the ball to La Equidad's 40%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.57 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.00 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs La Equidad?

Aguilas Doradas 1-1 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 44%, draw 30%, La Equidad 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aguilas Doradas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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