Santa Fe 1-0 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.24/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.31
+5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 73%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
20.8 Crosses 13.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.39 xG 1.27
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
278 Passes 292
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.09.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-2 HT 1-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
17.08.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOLK
28.07.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-1 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOLK
22.03.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
22.10.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
08.05.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.34 xG 0.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
24 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 6
287 Passes 235
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe squeezed past Deportivo Cali 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Santa Fe had 53% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 47%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 1.34 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santa Fe and 0.83 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali?

Santa Fe 1-0 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 50%, draw 29%, Deportivo Cali 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
14 Feb 2024
02:10 Aguilas Doradas vs La Equidad Analysis →