Cancun FC 1-1 Celaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 14 Feb 2024

Cancun FC
1-1 HT 1-1
Celaya
📅14/02/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2025/2026

Cancun FC vs Celaya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.9pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cancun FC v Celaya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Celaya EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.74/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.13
+31% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Cancun FC vs Celaya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Celaya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
The Meetings
28.09.2023 Celaya Celaya 1-0 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
05.01.2023 Celaya Celaya 2-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
14.09.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-4 HT 0-2 Celaya Celaya MEK2
12.01.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
18.11.2021 Celaya Celaya 3-1 HT 2-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
18.02.2021 Celaya Celaya 4-0 HT 2-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs Celaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC and Celaya shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Cancun FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cancun FC and 2.33 for Celaya.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs Celaya?

Cancun FC 1-1 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs Celaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 43%, draw 28%, Celaya 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cancun FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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