Dorados De Sinaloa 3-0 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.10/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.24
-8% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
251 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.07.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-0 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
17.04.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
16.09.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-2 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
10.01.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-2 HT 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
22.09.2021 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 3-1 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
03.03.2021 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-1 HT 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
POST-MATCH Dorados De Sinaloa vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorados De Sinaloa cruised past Correcaminos UAT 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Correcaminos UAT at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dorados De Sinaloa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dorados De Sinaloa and 1.00 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of Dorados De Sinaloa vs Correcaminos UAT?

Dorados De Sinaloa 3-0 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorados De Sinaloa vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated an Correcaminos UAT win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dorados De Sinaloa 34%, draw 24%, Correcaminos UAT 42%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Correcaminos UAT), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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