PAOK 0-1 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 14 Feb 2024

PAOK
0-1 HT 0-0
Panathinaikos
📅14/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Greece - Cup – 2023/2024

PAOK vs Panathinaikos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.53
6+ Goals
7%
24.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.87
1/2
11%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
20%
4.38
X/2
8%
7.08
X/X
20%
3.84
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
11%
5.68
2/X
5%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PAOK v Panathinaikos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 29%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.30/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.09/0.77
+15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -94% / +48%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

PAOK vs Panathinaikos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.06 xG 1.29
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
291 Passes 352
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
28.01.2024 PAOK PAOK 2-1 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
01.10.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-2 HT 1-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
03.05.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 1-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
23.04.2023 PAOK PAOK 1-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
26.01.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 1-0 PAOK PAOK YUK
22.01.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-3 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN

PAOK 0-1 Panathinaikos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
0-1
AWAY Panathinaikos
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos edged past PAOK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Panathinaikos found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, PAOK had 52% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 48%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for PAOK and 1.17 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Panathinaikos?

PAOK 0-1 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Cup on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split PAOK 39%, draw 31%, Panathinaikos 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (PAOK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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