FH Hafnarfjordur 3-6 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.0pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 38%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.00/5.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
-45% / -65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
3-6
AWAY Afturelding
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FH Hafnarfjordur vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding swept aside FH Hafnarfjordur 6-3 away from home. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FH Hafnarfjordur at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FH Hafnarfjordur had 61% of the ball to Afturelding's 39%, shots finished 7-14.

What was the final score of FH Hafnarfjordur vs Afturelding?

FH Hafnarfjordur 3-6 Afturelding in the Iceland - League Cup on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FH Hafnarfjordur vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated a FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FH Hafnarfjordur 42%, draw 25%, Afturelding 33%. The final score 3-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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