Throttur Reykjavik 3-1 Fjölnir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.35
No
42%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+11.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
70%
-12.0pp
42%
BTTS No
30%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Throttur Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 24%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.04/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/3.00
-59% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Throttur Reykjavik
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Fjölnir
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.07.2024 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 0-0 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
23.05.2024 Fjölnir Fjölnir 3-1 HT 0-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
16.07.2023 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 2-2 HT 0-2 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
11.05.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 3-3 HT 1-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
10.02.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 4-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZLK
22.07.2021 Fjölnir Fjölnir 3-1 HT 2-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Throttur Reykjavik
3-1
AWAY Fjölnir
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Throttur Reykjavik vs Fjölnir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Throttur Reykjavik saw off Fjölnir 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Throttur Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Throttur Reykjavik had 63% of the ball to Fjölnir's 37%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fjölnir led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Throttur Reykjavik and 2.50 for Fjölnir.

What was the final score of Throttur Reykjavik vs Fjölnir?

Throttur Reykjavik 3-1 Fjölnir in the Iceland - League Cup on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Throttur Reykjavik vs Fjölnir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Throttur Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Throttur Reykjavik 46%, draw 23%, Fjölnir 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Throttur Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Throttur Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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