Viktoria Köln 3-1 Alemannia Aachen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 14 Feb 2025

Viktoria Köln
3-1 HT 1-1
Alemannia Aachen
📅14/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Viktoria Köln vs Alemannia Aachen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.41
6+ Goals
7%
22.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 33% vs market 31.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.91
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
15%
5.53
X/2
12%
5.6
X/X
12%
4.03
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
15%
3.99
2/X
5%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viktoria Köln v Alemannia Aachen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.69/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.15
+23% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
13.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
11.7 Crosses 17.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Viktoria Köln vs Alemannia Aachen Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Köln
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 Passes 194
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
12 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 6
The Meetings
15.09.2024 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
28.11.2015 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 6-0 HT 3-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL
30.04.2015 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 0-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln ALMBÖL
31.10.2014 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-1 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL
25.03.2014 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-0 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL

Viktoria Köln 3-1 Alemannia Aachen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Köln
3-1
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 5
302 Passes 280
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Viktoria Köln vs Alemannia Aachen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Köln beat Alemannia Aachen 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Viktoria Köln as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viktoria Köln had 50% of the ball to Alemannia Aachen's 50%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Viktoria Köln had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Viktoria Köln and 0.40 for Alemannia Aachen.

What was the final score of Viktoria Köln vs Alemannia Aachen?

Viktoria Köln 3-1 Alemannia Aachen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Köln vs Alemannia Aachen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Köln 41%, draw 26%, Alemannia Aachen 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Köln) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Köln) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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