Alemannia Aachen 1-0 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 15 Sep 2024

Alemannia Aachen
1-0 HT 1-0
Viktoria Köln
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Alemannia Aachen vs Viktoria Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.63
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.81
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
14%
4.68
X/2
12%
6.99
X/X
10%
4.88
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
20%
4.93
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
39%
Away Win
28%
+11.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alemannia Aachen v Viktoria Köln — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 32%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -20%
0.98/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.51
-39% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
– Crosses 9.4
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Alemannia Aachen vs Viktoria Köln Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alemannia Aachen
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
The Meetings
28.11.2015 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 6-0 HT 3-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL
30.04.2015 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 0-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln ALMBÖL
31.10.2014 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-1 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL
25.03.2014 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-0 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL

Alemannia Aachen 1-0 Viktoria Köln — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alemannia Aachen
1-0
AWAY Viktoria Köln
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
194 Passes 310
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Crosses 12
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alemannia Aachen vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alemannia Aachen nicked a narrow win over Viktoria Köln 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Alemannia Aachen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Alemannia Aachen had 41% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 59%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Viktoria Köln led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Alemannia Aachen and 2.25 for Viktoria Köln.

What was the final score of Alemannia Aachen vs Viktoria Köln?

Alemannia Aachen 1-0 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alemannia Aachen vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viktoria Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alemannia Aachen 36%, draw 25%, Viktoria Köln 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Köln) ✗ BTTS Yes
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