Erzgebirge Aue vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Erzgebirge Aue v Arminia Bielefeld — Team-Based Signals
Erzgebirge Aue vs Arminia Bielefeld Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Erzgebirge Aue
AL3
0-0
HT 0-0
Arminia Bielefeld
AL2
3-1
HT 1-0
Erzgebirge Aue
AL2
2-1
HT 1-0
Erzgebirge Aue
AL2
1-0
HT 0-0
Arminia Bielefeld
AL2
Erzgebirge Aue 1-3 Arminia Bielefeld — Actual Match Statistics
Arminia Bielefeld saw off Erzgebirge Aue 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Arminia Bielefeld made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Erzgebirge Aue had 53% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 47%, shots finished 12-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 1.17 for Arminia Bielefeld.
What was the final score of Erzgebirge Aue vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Erzgebirge Aue 1-3 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 3rd Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Erzgebirge Aue vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Before kick-off our model rated a Erzgebirge Aue win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 36%, draw 31%, Arminia Bielefeld 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.