Erzgebirge Aue vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Erzgebirge Aue v Arminia Bielefeld — Team-Based Signals
Erzgebirge Aue vs Arminia Bielefeld Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Erzgebirge Aue
AL3
0-0
HT 0-0
Arminia Bielefeld
AL2
3-1
HT 1-0
Erzgebirge Aue
AL2
2-1
HT 1-0
Erzgebirge Aue
AL2
1-0
HT 0-0
Arminia Bielefeld
AL2
2-0
HT 1-0
Erzgebirge Aue
AL2
Erzgebirge Aue 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld — Actual Match Statistics
Erzgebirge Aue nicked a narrow win over Arminia Bielefeld 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Erzgebirge Aue found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Erzgebirge Aue had 45% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 55%, shots finished 7-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arminia Bielefeld led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 1.50 for Arminia Bielefeld.
What was the final score of Erzgebirge Aue vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Erzgebirge Aue 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 3rd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Erzgebirge Aue vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Before kick-off our model rated a Erzgebirge Aue win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 37%, draw 27%, Arminia Bielefeld 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.