Ulm 1846 2-0 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.88
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.95
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
11%
16.5
X/1
19%
3.74
X/2
8%
11.05
X/X
8%
5.91
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
9%
8.56
2/X
7%
17.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+9.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 21%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.66/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.83
-11% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
Crosses 8.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulm 1846
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-3 HT 0-2 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulm 1846
2-0
AWAY Viktoria Köln
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ulm 1846 vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulm 1846 saw off Viktoria Köln 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ulm 1846 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ulm 1846 had 55% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 45%, shots finished 19-8.

What was the final score of Ulm 1846 vs Viktoria Köln?

Ulm 1846 2-0 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulm 1846 vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulm 1846 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 48%, draw 25%, Viktoria Köln 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulm 1846) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulm 1846) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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