Dynamo Dresden 0-1 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.38
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.84
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
17.2
X/1
19%
3.71
X/2
11%
12.1
X/X
6%
6.5
2/1
8%
20.85
2/2
9%
9.05
2/X
9%
17.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
2.06/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.51
+11% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
450 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Verl
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2023 Verl Verl 1-0 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
11.02.2023 Verl Verl 2-3 HT 1-2 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
10.08.2022 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-0 HT 1-0 Verl Verl AL3
04.05.2021 Verl Verl 0-0 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
15.12.2020 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 4-1 HT 1-0 Verl Verl AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
0-1
AWAY Verl
46% Ball Possession 54%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 4
285 Passes 389
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl edged past Dynamo Dresden 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Dynamo Dresden at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Dynamo Dresden had 46% of the ball to Verl's 54%, shots finished 20-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 0.80 for Verl.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Verl?

Dynamo Dresden 0-1 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 50%, draw 25%, Verl 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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