Freiburg II 3-1 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
49%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
20%
+6.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
49%
Away Win
56%
-7.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 60%
+12% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.04/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-6% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
269 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
03.12.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 3-2 HT 2-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg II
3-1
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 12
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg II got the better of Jahn Regensburg 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Jahn Regensburg at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Freiburg II had 50% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 50%, shots finished 9-22.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs Jahn Regensburg?

Freiburg II 3-1 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 3rd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jahn Regensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 26%, draw 26%, Jahn Regensburg 49%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jahn Regensburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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