Verl 0-3 Energie Cottbus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 15 Sep 2024

Verl
0-3 HT 0-1
Energie Cottbus
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Verl vs Energie Cottbus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.58
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
18%
4.44
X/2
10%
7.6
X/X
13%
5.08
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
23.15
2/2
11%
5.45
2/X
7%
13.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Verl v Energie Cottbus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Verl EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
2.09/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.46
+25% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
326 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
– Crosses 16.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.5

Verl 0-3 Energie Cottbus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Verl
0-3
AWAY Energie Cottbus
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
524 Passes 327
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Verl vs Energie Cottbus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Energie Cottbus swept aside Verl 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Verl at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Verl had 59% of the ball to Energie Cottbus's 41%, shots finished 10-18.

What was the final score of Verl vs Energie Cottbus?

Verl 0-3 Energie Cottbus in the Germany - 3rd Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Verl vs Energie Cottbus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Verl 44%, draw 29%, Energie Cottbus 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Verl), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Verl) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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