Hume City 2-1 Dandenong Thunder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hume City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.52/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.61
-29% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses 19.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hume City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dandenong Thunder
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.34 xG 0.92
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
284 Passes 398
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Hume City Hume City 0-0 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
10.02.2024 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-2 HT 1-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
19.08.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 3-4 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
13.05.2023 Hume City Hume City 0-2 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
13.08.2022 Hume City Hume City 2-1 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
07.05.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 3-3 HT 3-1 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Hume City vs Dandenong Thunder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hume City edged past Dandenong Thunder 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hume City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hume City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hume City and 1.67 for Dandenong Thunder.

What was the final score of Hume City vs Dandenong Thunder?

Hume City 2-1 Dandenong Thunder in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hume City vs Dandenong Thunder?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hume City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hume City 48%, draw 26%, Dandenong Thunder 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hume City) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hume City) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
14 Feb 2025
11:30 Manly United vs Sutherland Sharks Analysis →
11:30 St. George Saints vs Rockdale Ilinden Analysis →
11:30 Green Gully vs Oakleigh Cannons Analysis →
11:30 Heidelberg United vs Melbourne Victory II Analysis →
11:45 Dandenong City vs Preston Lions Analysis →
12:00 Edgeworth Eagles vs Broadmeadow Magic Analysis →