Dandenong Thunder 1-2 Hume City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hume City EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.60/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.68
+5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.9 Crosses 12.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong Thunder
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hume City
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.92 xG 0.34
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
398 Passes 284
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.08.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 3-4 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
13.05.2023 Hume City Hume City 0-2 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
13.08.2022 Hume City Hume City 2-1 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
07.05.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 3-3 HT 3-1 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
17.04.2021 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 4-3 HT 2-1 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
29.03.2015 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 0-2 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong Thunder vs Hume City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hume City edged past Dandenong Thunder 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hume City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hume City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Dandenong Thunder and 2.33 for Hume City.

What was the final score of Dandenong Thunder vs Hume City?

Dandenong Thunder 1-2 Hume City in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong Thunder vs Hume City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hume City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dandenong Thunder 33%, draw 25%, Hume City 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hume City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hume City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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