Avondale Heights 4-3 Dandenong City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒07:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.25
Draw
33%
5.71
Away
33%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.96
Over 2.5
50%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
76%
-42.5pp
33%
Draw
15%
+18.6pp
33%
Away Win
10%
+23.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
30%
+19.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
70%
-19.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
2.86/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.19
+14% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.5 Crosses 12.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avondale Heights
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Dandenong City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.56 xG 1.30
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
373 Passes 168
77% Pass Accuracy 64%
33 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.07.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 3-1 HT 1-0 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
30.04.2022 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 0-0 HT 0-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
19.06.2021 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 3-0 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
19.03.2021 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-4 HT 0-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Avondale Heights vs Dandenong City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights squeezed past Dandenong City 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Avondale Heights found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Avondale Heights and 1.00 for Dandenong City.

What was the final score of Avondale Heights vs Dandenong City?

Avondale Heights 4-3 Dandenong City in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avondale Heights vs Dandenong City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Avondale Heights 33%, draw 33%, Dandenong City 33%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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