Altona Magic 0-1 Heidelberg United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒10:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.4pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 52%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.52/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.03
-8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses 15.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altona Magic
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Heidelberg United
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.52 xG 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
250 Passes 201
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.07.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 3-2 HT 1-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
09.04.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-2 HT 1-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
25.06.2022 Altona Magic Altona Magic 0-1 HT 0-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
27.03.2022 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-2 HT 0-2 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
13.03.2021 Altona Magic Altona Magic 2-2 HT 2-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Altona Magic vs Heidelberg United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidelberg United edged past Altona Magic 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Heidelberg United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Altona Magic had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Altona Magic and 1.40 for Heidelberg United.

What was the final score of Altona Magic vs Heidelberg United?

Altona Magic 0-1 Heidelberg United in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altona Magic vs Heidelberg United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Altona Magic 33%, draw 23%, Heidelberg United 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heidelberg United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heidelberg United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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