W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 4-1 Newcastle Jets (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 14 Feb 2025

W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
4-1 HT 2-1
Newcastle Jets (K)
📅14/02/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
40%
-10.1pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.6pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) v Newcastle Jets (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 38%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.14/2.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.55
-36% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
18.8 Crosses 23.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.68 xG 1.74
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
289 Passes 213
71% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.11.2024 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 2-2 HT 1-2 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
09.02.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
22.11.2019 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
02.02.2019 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 4-1 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
24.11.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
29.10.2017 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 4-1 Newcastle Jets (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
4-1
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
2.73 xG 1.98
44% Ball Possession 56%
24 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
278 Passes 369
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) ran out comfortable winners over Newcastle Jets (K) 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and on the day W. Sydney Wanderers (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had 44% of the ball to Newcastle Jets (K)'s 56%, shots finished 24-14, expected goals 2.73 to 1.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) and 1.67 for Newcastle Jets (K).

What was the final score of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 4-1 Newcastle Jets (K) in the Australia - W-League on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle Jets (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 30%, draw 30%, Newcastle Jets (K) 40%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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