14/02/2025
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Al-Qasim vs Duhok Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
30%
Draw
30%
38%
Away Win
46%
73%
Under 2.5
62%
27%
Over 2.5
38%
36%
BTTS Yes
43%
64%
BTTS No
57%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al-Qasim v Duhok — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al-Qasim
EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
Duhok
EU Bookmakers 50%
+62% /
+62%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+150%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
44%
Ball Possession
56%
8
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
323 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
376 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Al-Qasim vs Duhok Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al-Qasim
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Duhok
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Al-Qasim vs Duhok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al-Qasim edged past Duhok 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Al-Qasim made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Al-Qasim vs Duhok?
Al-Qasim 2-1 Duhok in the Iraq - Premier League on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al-Qasim vs Duhok?
Before kick-off our model rated an Duhok win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al-Qasim 32%, draw 30%, Duhok 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Duhok)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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14 Feb 2025