Kariobangi Sharks 2-2 Posta Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.4pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Posta Rangers EU Bookmakers 30%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.79/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.23
-17% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Posta Rangers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
08.12.2024 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN
25.09.2021 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN2
POST-MATCH Kariobangi Sharks vs Posta Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kariobangi Sharks and Posta Rangers couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kariobangi Sharks had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kariobangi Sharks and 0.00 for Posta Rangers.

What was the final score of Kariobangi Sharks vs Posta Rangers?

Kariobangi Sharks 2-2 Posta Rangers in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kariobangi Sharks vs Posta Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kariobangi Sharks win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Kariobangi Sharks 34%, draw 31%, Posta Rangers 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/31/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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