Nairobi City Stars 0-5 Homeboyz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.94
Draw
27%
2.77
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
31%
+10.4pp
27%
Draw
33%
-5.6pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.4pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nairobi City Stars EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 40%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.59/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/0.99
-37% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
316 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nairobi City Stars
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Homeboyz
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.10.2024 Homeboyz Homeboyz 2-0 HT 2-0 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars KEN
24.01.2022 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 1-1 HT 0-0 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN2
20.01.2022 Homeboyz Homeboyz 4-4 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars KEN2
POST-MATCH Nairobi City Stars vs Homeboyz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homeboyz ran out comfortable winners over Nairobi City Stars 5-0 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nairobi City Stars at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Homeboyz led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nairobi City Stars and 2.33 for Homeboyz.

What was the final score of Nairobi City Stars vs Homeboyz?

Nairobi City Stars 0-5 Homeboyz in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nairobi City Stars vs Homeboyz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nairobi City Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nairobi City Stars 41%, draw 27%, Homeboyz 32%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Nairobi City Stars), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nairobi City Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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