Homeboyz 2-0 Nairobi City Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.4pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.5pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-2.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.9pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Nairobi City Stars EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.65/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.37
-42% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homeboyz
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Nairobi City Stars
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.01.2022 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 1-1 HT 0-0 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN2
20.01.2022 Homeboyz Homeboyz 4-4 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Homeboyz
2-0
AWAY Nairobi City Stars
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Homeboyz vs Nairobi City Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homeboyz got the better of Nairobi City Stars 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Homeboyz as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Homeboyz had 49% of the ball to Nairobi City Stars's 51%, shots finished 6-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Homeboyz and 2.50 for Nairobi City Stars.

What was the final score of Homeboyz vs Nairobi City Stars?

Homeboyz 2-0 Nairobi City Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homeboyz vs Nairobi City Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Homeboyz win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Homeboyz 47%, draw 34%, Nairobi City Stars 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Homeboyz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Homeboyz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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