Police vs Mathare United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Police v Mathare United — Team-Based Signals
Police vs Mathare United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Police
KEN2
Police 2-0 Mathare United — Actual Match Statistics
Police saw off Mathare United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Police as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Police had 57% of the ball to Mathare United's 43%, shots finished 13-5.
What was the final score of Police vs Mathare United?
Police 2-0 Mathare United in the Kenya - Premier League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Police vs Mathare United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Police win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Police 57%, draw 25%, Mathare United 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Police), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.