Bidco United 1-0 Kariobangi Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.48
Over 2.5
25%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.13
No
65%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.3pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
75%
Under 2.5
64%
+10.6pp
25%
Over 2.5
36%
-10.6pp
35%
BTTS Yes
43%
-7.8pp
65%
BTTS No
57%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bidco United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 39%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.54/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.14
-16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bidco United
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
15.06.2024 Bidco United Bidco United 0-1 HT 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN
17.12.2023 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 0-0 HT 0-0 Bidco United Bidco United KEN
03.04.2022 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 2-1 HT 1-0 Bidco United Bidco United KEN2
16.03.2022 Bidco United Bidco United 1-1 HT 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN2
POST-MATCH Bidco United vs Kariobangi Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bidco United squeezed past Kariobangi Sharks 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 34% / 35% — and on the day Bidco United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kariobangi Sharks led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bidco United and 1.00 for Kariobangi Sharks.

What was the final score of Bidco United vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Bidco United 1-0 Kariobangi Sharks in the Kenya - Premier League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bidco United vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kariobangi Sharks win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Bidco United 31%, draw 34%, Kariobangi Sharks 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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