Shabana 0-1 Sofapaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 23 Oct 2024

Shabana
0-1 HT 0-1
Sofapaka
📅23/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

Shabana vs Sofapaka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.3pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+5.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shabana v Sofapaka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabana EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 33%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-100% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Shabana vs Sofapaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sofapaka nicked a narrow win over Shabana 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sofapaka found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Shabana vs Sofapaka?

Shabana 0-1 Sofapaka in the Kenya - Premier League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabana vs Sofapaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shabana win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Shabana 35%, draw 31%, Sofapaka 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shabana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shabana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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