TransMara Sugar 1-1 Posta Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 23 Oct 2024

TransMara Sugar
1-1
Posta Rangers
📅23/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

TransMara Sugar vs Posta Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.6
Over 2.5
34%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
16%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-10.3pp
36%
Draw
27%
+8.8pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

TransMara Sugar v Posta Rangers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Posta Rangers EU Bookmakers 26%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.84
-9% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH TransMara Sugar vs Posta Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransMara Sugar and Posta Rangers shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (40% / 36% / 24%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

What was the final score of TransMara Sugar vs Posta Rangers?

TransMara Sugar 1-1 Posta Rangers in the Kenya - Premier League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransMara Sugar vs Posta Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a TransMara Sugar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split TransMara Sugar 40%, draw 36%, Posta Rangers 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (TransMara Sugar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TransMara Sugar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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