Southend United 5-1 Morecambe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
71%
1.41
Draw
17%
4.5
Away
12%
6.07
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.2
Over
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.94
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.49
2-3
43%
1.88
4-5
29%
2.75
6+
10%
7.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1.69
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
4%
17.7
X/1
20%
4.0
X/2
5%
14.25
X/X
9%
7.22
2/1
3%
20.55
2/2
6%
11.45
2/X
4%
20.2
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Southend United The Market 71%
Head to Head
AWAY Morecambe The Market 16%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.23 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.09
0.61 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.19
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Average
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
257 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 126 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Morecambe
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.70 xG 1.22
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
270 Passes 214
63% Pass Accuracy 62%
12 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Morecambe Morecambe 0-3 HT 0-2 Southend United Southend United İBSL
06.04.2021 Morecambe Morecambe 1-1 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İN2
26.09.2020 Southend United Southend United 1-2 HT 1-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
02.05.2015 Morecambe Morecambe 3-1 HT 1-1 Southend United Southend United İN2
04.10.2014 Southend United Southend United 0-1 HT 0-1 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
08.03.2014 Morecambe Morecambe 2-1 HT 1-1 Southend United Southend United İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
5 - 1
AWAY Morecambe
54% Ball Possession 46%
27 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Southend United vs Morecambe
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Southend United cruised past Morecambe 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Southend United had 54% of the ball to Morecambe's 46%, shots finished 27-8.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Morecambe led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Southend United and 1.50 for Morecambe.

Southend United vs Morecambe Result & Final Score

Southend United 5 - 1 Morecambe in the England - National League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Southend United vs Morecambe Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Southend United 71%, draw 17%, Morecambe 12%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
14 Feb 2026
18:00 Yeovil vs Rochdale Analysis →
18:00 Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood Analysis →
18:00 Wealdstone vs York City Analysis →
18:00 Braintree Town vs Solihull Moors Analysis →
18:00 Tamworth vs Aldershot Town Analysis →
18:00 Gateshead vs Brackley Town Analysis →