Leiston 1-1 Bromsgrove Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.82
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
51%
+6.8pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.3pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
2.00/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.59
+17% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2025 Bromsgrove Sporting 2-1 HT 1-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
18.01.2025 Bromsgrove Sporting 0-1 HT 0-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
09.11.2024 Leiston Leiston 0-0 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
16.12.2023 Bromsgrove Sporting 0-0 HT 0-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
19.08.2023 Leiston Leiston 2-3 HT 1-1 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
18.03.2023 Leiston Leiston 3-2 HT 2-0 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Bromsgrove Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston and Bromsgrove Sporting couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Leiston carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leiston and 1.17 for Bromsgrove Sporting.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

Leiston 1-1 Bromsgrove Sporting in the England - Non League Premier on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Leiston 58%, draw 19%, Bromsgrove Sporting 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leiston), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leiston) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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