Bromsgrove Sporting 0-1 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.6pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bromsgrove Sporting EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.13/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.56
-25% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bromsgrove Sporting
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Leiston
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Leiston Leiston 0-0 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
16.12.2023 Bromsgrove Sporting 0-0 HT 0-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
19.08.2023 Leiston Leiston 2-3 HT 1-1 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
18.03.2023 Leiston Leiston 3-2 HT 2-0 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
15.10.2022 Bromsgrove Sporting 1-7 HT 0-6 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
05.04.2022 Leiston Leiston 1-0 HT 1-0 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston edged past Bromsgrove Sporting 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leiston as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leiston led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bromsgrove Sporting and 2.17 for Leiston.

What was the final score of Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leiston?

Bromsgrove Sporting 0-1 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bromsgrove Sporting 32%, draw 27%, Leiston 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leiston) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leiston) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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