Poole Town 1-0 Basingstoke Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poole Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 40%
-12% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.44/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/2.16
-8% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 201 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Poole Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Basingstoke Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
09.11.2024 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 1-3 HT 0-3 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
17.02.2024 Poole Town Poole Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
14.10.2023 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 4-2 HT 1-1 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Poole Town
1-0
AWAY Basingstoke Town
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poole Town nicked a narrow win over Basingstoke Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Poole Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Poole Town had 55% of the ball to Basingstoke Town's 45%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Basingstoke Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Poole Town and 2.00 for Basingstoke Town.

What was the final score of Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Poole Town 1-0 Basingstoke Town in the England - Non League Premier on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Poole Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Poole Town 36%, draw 28%, Basingstoke Town 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Poole Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Poole Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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