Alvechurch 3-2 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.9
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
49%
-11.6pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.7pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.02/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.58
-42% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Barwell
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Barwell Barwell 5-3 HT 1-2 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
06.01.2024 Barwell Barwell 2-2 HT 2-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
12.09.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 4-4 HT 4-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
21.03.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 2-1 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
27.08.2022 Barwell Barwell 1-1 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
19.02.2022 Barwell Barwell 1-1 HT 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch nicked a narrow win over Barwell 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Alvechurch found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Alvechurch and 2.33 for Barwell.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs Barwell?

Alvechurch 3-2 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 37%, draw 33%, Barwell 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alvechurch) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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