Barwell 5-3 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
43%
+7.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.7pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -25%
1.68/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.53
+4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Alvechurch
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 Barwell Barwell 2-2 HT 2-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
12.09.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 4-4 HT 4-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
21.03.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 2-1 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
27.08.2022 Barwell Barwell 1-1 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
19.02.2022 Barwell Barwell 1-1 HT 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
23.10.2021 Alvechurch Alvechurch 2-1 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Barwell vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell beat Alvechurch 5-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barwell as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alvechurch led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Barwell and 2.00 for Alvechurch.

What was the final score of Barwell vs Alvechurch?

Barwell 5-3 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Barwell 51%, draw 23%, Alvechurch 26%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barwell) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barwell) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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