Barwell 2-2 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.4pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 23%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
2.38/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.90
+14% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Alvechurch
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.09.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 4-4 HT 4-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
21.03.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 2-1 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
27.08.2022 Barwell Barwell 1-1 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
19.02.2022 Barwell Barwell 1-1 HT 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
23.10.2021 Alvechurch Alvechurch 2-1 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Barwell vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell and Alvechurch shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Barwell at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alvechurch led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Barwell and 2.00 for Alvechurch.

What was the final score of Barwell vs Alvechurch?

Barwell 2-2 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Barwell 49%, draw 22%, Alvechurch 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Barwell), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barwell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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