St Ives Town 1-2 Bedford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-8.3pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 33%
-11% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.72/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.45
+5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Ives Town
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Bedford Town
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
09.11.2024 Bedford Town Bedford Town 0-3 HT 0-1 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
15.04.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Bedford Town Bedford Town İNGNLP
12.11.2022 Bedford Town Bedford Town 1-3 HT 1-2 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Ives Town
1-2
AWAY Bedford Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St Ives Town vs Bedford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bedford Town edged past St Ives Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (41% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Bedford Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, St Ives Town had 54% of the ball to Bedford Town's 46%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, St Ives Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for St Ives Town and 0.33 for Bedford Town.

What was the final score of St Ives Town vs Bedford Town?

St Ives Town 1-2 Bedford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Ives Town vs Bedford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Ives Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St Ives Town 41%, draw 24%, Bedford Town 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St Ives Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St Ives Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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